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Goodhart's Law

Goodhart's Law states that when a measure becomes a target, it stops being a good measure. The moment you reward a number, people optimise the number rather than the outcome it was meant to represent, and the two quietly come apart.

In growth this is everywhere. Reward sales-qualified leads and your team logs more leads of worse quality. Reward calls booked and you get booked calls that never show. Reward activation defined as a shallow click and you hit the target while real value stalls. The metric goes up and to the right while the business it was supposed to track does not move.

The defence is not to abandon metrics but to pick ones that are hard to game and to pair every target with a guardrail. Watch a leading metric alongside the lagging outcome it should produce, and when they diverge, trust the outcome. Goodhart's Law is the reason a north-star metric must measure delivered value, not vanity activity.

Articles

  • Article

    Pull your numbers from the last cycle, compare them against targets, and see which metrics moved and which ones stalled. You will leave with a clear picture of where you stand.

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    Quarterly targets hit or missed are just the starting point. Learn how to assess whether your assumptions about the business were right, extract learnings that compound, and set up the next quarter with a model grounded in reality. Close one quarter and open the next in a single session.

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    Most teams look at dashboards without knowing what to do with the numbers. Learn how to diagnose what actually happened, separate signal from noise, and make course-corrections while there's still time to recover. Turn data into decisions instead of just reporting.

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